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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 09:38 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.9K−$12K$22K
Holders326−64390
Trades2.3K+772.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−3.4 pp
51.0%
Avg ROI2.5%
+2.8 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.63
+15.00×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.85
+15.21×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.1K
−$10.3K
$19.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.6%
−146.5 pp
52.9%
Underwater %98.5%
+98.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.0%
+3.2 pp
41.8%
Bot %51.8%
−2.0 pp
53.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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