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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2025-09-29 20:00 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K+$751$2.3K
Holders7−916
Trades104−47151
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.5%
+31.7 pp
21.8%
Avg ROI3.2%
+2.1 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−16.61×
×17.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−13.52×
×14.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$73
−$208
$280
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.16
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.1%
+112.1 pp
-93.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %80.1%
+66.5 pp
13.7%
Bot %80.1%
+66.5 pp
13.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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