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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 00:30 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$6.3K$20K
Holders426−60486
Trades3.3K+433.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.7%
+15.5 pp
48.2%
Avg ROI0.9%
−6.5 pp
7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.35
−13.42×
×13.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.60
−12.54×
×13.14
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.2K
−$1.5K
$18.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL102.9%
+194.7 pp
-91.7%
Underwater %0.3%
−89.0 pp
89.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
−3.0 pp
57.8%
Bot %46.7%
−18.5 pp
65.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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