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Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)

data as of 2026-04-11 02:49 UTC● RESOLVEDNuggets won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
NUGGETS✓ WON
100¢
THUNDER
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
NUGGETS
100¢
NuggetsN-TThunder
Position$11K+$2.9K$8.5K
Holders46+1432
Trades323+24299
THUNDER
0¢
NuggetsΔ N−TThunder
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
−5.1 pp
54.6%
Avg ROI0.7%
−5.3 pp
6.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.98
+0.16×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
+0.06×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$186
+$166
$19
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.07
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL13.1%
−6.8 pp
20.0%
Underwater %16.1%
+2.9 pp
13.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.0%
+39.1 pp
13.8%
Bot %61.1%
+40.3 pp
20.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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