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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-05 03:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$538−$916$1.5K
Holders19−120
Trades134−55189
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.0%
−5.8 pp
47.8%
Avg ROI-6.2%
−23.9 pp
17.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.04
+0.97×
×0.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
+0.72×
×0.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$277
+$8
$269
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.32
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL1.9%
−275.9 pp
277.8%
Underwater %59.2%
+47.6 pp
11.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.5%
+8.5 pp
40.1%
Bot %48.5%
−47.7 pp
96.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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