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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 5?

data as of 2026-05-05 11:56 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$238−$8.9K$9.1K
Holders76−379
Trades568+177391
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.7%
−40.2 pp
72.9%
Avg ROI9.9%
+6.9 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×7.25
+6.30×
×0.95
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.88
+5.95×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6
−$279
$285
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.08
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.9%
−95.4 pp
8.5%
Underwater %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.0%
+13.2 pp
7.7%
Bot %28.0%
+20.3 pp
7.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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