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Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 8PM ET

data as of 2025-12-22 01:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.5K+$785$2.7K
Holders49−1059
Trades749+69680
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−5.5 pp
57.4%
Avg ROI1.0%
−1.4 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.17
+15.76×
×0.40
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.70
+17.31×
×0.39
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$361
−$202
$563
Recent buyer dominance0.67
−0.12
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.5%
−237.6 pp
143.0%
Underwater %95.4%
+92.8 pp
2.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.0%
+27.8 pp
48.2%
Bot %78.7%
+22.5 pp
56.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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