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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-08 19:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$62K$72K
Holders443−14457
Trades4.6K−2294.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.2%
−23.6 pp
68.9%
Avg ROI2.1%
+1.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×19.88
+19.10×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×20.88
+20.09×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.1K
−$28.8K
$37.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.01
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.2%
−122.0 pp
26.8%
Underwater %99.3%
+96.5 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.5%
−6.3 pp
78.7%
Bot %71.1%
−4.4 pp
75.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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