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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-26 14:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$6.5K$23K
Holders470+180290
Trades4.5K+8853.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−5.1 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI4.5%
+5.4 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×39.56
+38.97×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×32.42
+31.75×
×0.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.9K
−$4.3K
$20.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.04
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−156.3 pp
59.0%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.3%
−15.2 pp
84.5%
Bot %69.0%
−16.5 pp
85.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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