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Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?

data as of 2026-01-15 16:15 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$42−$20K$20K
Holders50−4999
Trades722+322400
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate20.1%
−72.5 pp
92.6%
Avg ROI462.8%
+464.1 pp
-1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−0.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.06
+0.06×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-8.3%
−8.4 pp
0.1%
Underwater %4.1%
−10.4 pp
14.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %16.0%
−51.7 pp
67.6%
Bot %23.7%
−44.5 pp
68.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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