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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-07 06:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$37K+$14K$24K
Holders378−127505
Trades4.0K−1624.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.0%
+15.0 pp
44.0%
Avg ROI0.7%
−4.4 pp
5.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.38
−54.54×
×54.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.41
−52.45×
×52.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14.9K
−$7.2K
$22.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.01
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL136.0%
+234.0 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %1.3%
−95.2 pp
96.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.1%
+6.7 pp
72.4%
Bot %77.6%
+4.7 pp
72.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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