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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 5PM ET

data as of 2026-01-29 22:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$67K+$33K$34K
Holders134−5139
Trades3.4K+4922.9K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
+10.2 pp
45.8%
Avg ROI1.5%
−4.3 pp
5.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.39
−55.30×
×55.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.39
−53.16×
×53.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.9K
+$6.8K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.85
+0.09
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL152.0%
+250.1 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %92.4%
+5.7 pp
86.7%
Bot %89.5%
+3.2 pp
86.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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