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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 16:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K+$2.3K$4.8K
Holders114−2116
Trades1.0K+41964
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.7%
+1.6 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI3.1%
+2.6 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×61.69
+61.33×
×0.36
Top-20 avg cost vs price×62.69
+62.32×
×0.38
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.8K
+$882
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.09
0.85
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.3%
−253.3 pp
155.0%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %49.9%
−12.3 pp
62.2%
Bot %68.7%
−6.2 pp
74.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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