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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 04:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.2K−$2.3K$4.5K
Holders87−188
Trades737+277460
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−9.5 pp
59.0%
Avg ROI0.7%
+0.3 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.53
+4.69×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.55
+4.74×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$560
−$2.2K
$2.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.0%
−109.3 pp
27.3%
Underwater %96.1%
+86.7 pp
9.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.8%
+29.2 pp
25.6%
Bot %72.8%
+23.7 pp
49.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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