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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 18?

data as of 2026-03-18 07:31 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Mar 18, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$238−$16K$16K
Holders88−52140
Trades942+154788
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.7%
−44.3 pp
82.1%
Avg ROI4.3%
+6.4 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.80
+2.82×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.40
+3.43×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$166
$168
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.08
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-80.1%
−84.2 pp
4.2%
Underwater %94.1%
+94.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.7%
−2.6 pp
32.3%
Bot %29.7%
−2.4 pp
32.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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