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Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3PM ET

data as of 2025-09-22 19:50 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.8K−$9.2K$18K
Holders76+2749
Trades1.4K+281.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−3.3 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI13.8%
+12.9 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.28
+25.68×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.85
+34.21×
×0.64
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$285
−$2.8K
$3.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.08
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.0%
−150.0 pp
52.9%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %62.2%
−12.9 pp
75.1%
Bot %62.0%
−10.0 pp
72.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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