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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 12:02 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$15K$3.2K
Holders219−103322
Trades1.5K−5192.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.7%
+7.4 pp
46.3%
Avg ROI1.5%
−3.5 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−22.01×
×22.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−17.13×
×17.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.5K
+$3.8K
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.8%
+134.9 pp
-95.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−91.1 pp
91.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.2%
+0.6 pp
62.6%
Bot %66.9%
+2.7 pp
64.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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