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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-11 08:28 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.1K−$3.7K$9.8K
Holders154+40114
Trades1.8K+531.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−5.1 pp
52.4%
Avg ROI1.7%
+2.2 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×46.18
+45.68×
×0.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×44.50
+44.01×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.2K
−$808
$3.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.12
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−197.2 pp
99.6%
Underwater %92.3%
+91.6 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.2%
−11.4 pp
67.6%
Bot %65.7%
−9.8 pp
75.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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