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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 17?

data as of 2026-05-16 17:51 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$138−$6.4K$6.5K
Holders43−4588
Trades807+139668
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.0%
−22.5 pp
89.6%
Avg ROI13.8%
+12.3 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.40
+2.40×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.68
+1.69×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$71
−$1.4K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.09
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.5%
−63.0 pp
1.5%
Underwater %77.4%
+29.2 pp
48.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.8%
−26.1 pp
37.9%
Bot %17.1%
−20.8 pp
37.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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