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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 01:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$44K+$25K$19K
Holders416+24392
Trades5.4K−7136.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.1%
+6.4 pp
46.7%
Avg ROI-0.6%
−0.6 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−17.40×
×18.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−17.07×
×17.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34.9K
+$17.4K
$17.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.4%
+151.5 pp
-94.1%
Underwater %0.6%
−97.0 pp
97.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.5%
−6.1 pp
84.6%
Bot %78.4%
−6.0 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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