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Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 17?

data as of 2026-07-15 06:51 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 17, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
33¢
NO
67¢
YES
33¢
YesY-NNo
Position$31−$40$71
Holders3−25
Trades6+15
NO
67¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.9%
+40.0 pp
1.9%
Avg ROI0.7%
+11.8 pp
-11.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$2
$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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