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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 6?

data as of 2026-07-04 22:47 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 6, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
95¢
NO
3¢
YES
95¢
YesY-NNo
Position$190+$190$0
Holders1−12
Trades1−89
NO
3¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.0%
+76.9 pp
1.1%
Avg ROI7.5%
−25.1 pp
32.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.67×
×0.33
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.67×
×0.33
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$190
+$190
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−203.3 pp
203.3%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−49.9 pp
49.9%
Bot %0.0%
−49.9 pp
49.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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