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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 13?

data as of 2026-05-13 18:08 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$841−$1.9K$2.7K
Holders145−4149
Trades751+148603
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.3%
−28.4 pp
68.7%
Avg ROI8.3%
+6.8 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.19
+5.41×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.54
+4.73×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$23
$24
Recent buyer dominance0.57
−0.26
0.83
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.6%
−110.7 pp
28.1%
Underwater %97.0%
+97.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.3%
+2.0 pp
29.3%
Bot %34.7%
+6.1 pp
28.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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