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Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?

data as of 2026-07-15 07:19 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Apr 30, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9+$1$8
Holders3+21
Trades21+201
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate17.6%
−53.5 pp
71.1%
Avg ROI136.3%
+136.1 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$8
$8
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
−0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %99.2%
+99.2 pp
0.0%
Bot %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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