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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

data as of 2026-04-19 00:55 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.9K−$13K$22K
Holders355+36319
Trades3.2K−6033.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.8%
−8.2 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI2.9%
+1.4 pp
1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×13.48
+12.85×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.01
+10.40×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.1K
−$5.8K
$12.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.13
0.77
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.4%
−151.4 pp
60.0%
Underwater %90.7%
+90.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
+1.1 pp
60.4%
Bot %62.9%
−0.1 pp
63.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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