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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

data as of 2026-05-06 17:58 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$2.9K−$9.2K$12K
Holders163+54109
Trades1.8K+5161.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.9%
+4.4 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI5.7%
+9.7 pp
-3.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.83
+9.98×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×13.02
+12.19×
×0.84
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$298
−$2.9K
$3.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.01
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.0%
−112.6 pp
19.6%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.3%
+0.4 pp
67.9%
Bot %73.8%
−3.3 pp
77.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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