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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

data as of 2026-01-20 03:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K−$3.5K$26K
Holders407+114293
Trades5.0K−6685.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
−1.0 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI2.4%
+4.6 pp
-2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×24.33
+23.82×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×22.81
+22.30×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.1K
−$2.7K
$7.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.16
0.72
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.5%
−190.5 pp
95.0%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
−10.8 pp
72.3%
Bot %60.6%
−11.7 pp
72.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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