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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 15:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K−$2.4K$6.2K
Holders101+695
Trades913+66847
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−4.2 pp
52.3%
Avg ROI2.8%
+1.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.00
+36.41×
×0.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.16
+34.58×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.2K
−$811
$3.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.05
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.2%
−171.2 pp
73.9%
Underwater %92.3%
+92.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %36.9%
−0.4 pp
37.3%
Bot %66.8%
−10.6 pp
77.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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