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Will Trump say "Make a Deal" during Monday news conference?

data as of 2026-04-06 18:10 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.2K+$3.8K$395
Holders32+1121
Trades168+22146
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.7%
+12.9 pp
46.8%
Avg ROI6.7%
−7.7 pp
14.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−22.00×
×23.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.01
−33.36×
×34.38
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$79
−$166
$87
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.6%
+96.4 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %49.2%
−50.5 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.9%
−17.1 pp
25.1%
Bot %8.2%
−19.0 pp
27.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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