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Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

data as of 2026-06-06 23:51 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$253K+$173K$80K
Holders271+47224
Trades3.6K+6003.0K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate69.7%
+1.3 pp
68.4%
Avg ROI6.1%
+9.4 pp
-3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−27.41×
×28.11
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−26.07×
×26.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.9K
+$15.3K
$615
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.19
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.7%
+154.4 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.2%
−20.5 pp
25.8%
Bot %6.4%
−33.0 pp
39.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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