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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 8?

data as of 2026-05-06 08:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9−$616$624
Holders27+918
Trades512+359153
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate30.4%
−38.2 pp
68.5%
Avg ROI43.9%
+43.4 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.48
+0.48×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$4
$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-32.3%
−32.3 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %47.6%
−52.4 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.4%
+52.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %52.4%
+52.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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