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Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 12PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 16:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$794−$4.1K$4.9K
Holders31−233
Trades296+71225
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
−1.3 pp
55.7%
Avg ROI1.5%
+1.2 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.89
+3.13×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.50
+3.77×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$109
−$201
$310
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-77.9%
−113.1 pp
35.2%
Underwater %99.6%
+99.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %56.8%
+16.3 pp
40.5%
Bot %69.6%
+13.0 pp
56.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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