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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 12?

data as of 2026-07-06 17:02 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 12, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
100¢
NO
0¢
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$61+$51$10
Holders2−57
Trades4−913
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−37.1 pp
37.1%
Avg ROI0.0%
−18.1 pp
18.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−2.67×
×3.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−2.50×
×3.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
+$9
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-0.0%
+71.4 pp
-71.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+0.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+75.5 pp
24.5%
Bot %100.0%
+75.5 pp
24.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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