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Spread: Bears (-3.5)

data as of 2026-01-04 21:25 UTC● RESOLVEDLions won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
BEARS
0¢
LIONS✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
BEARS
0¢
BearsB-LLions
Position$140K+$40K$100K
Holders43+1132
Trades296−55351
LIONS
100¢
BearsΔ BLLions
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.7%
+2.7 pp
46.0%
Avg ROI6.7%
+10.5 pp
-3.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.15
+0.23×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.11
+0.16×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$154
−$28.6K
$28.8K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-9.8%
−15.0 pp
5.2%
Underwater %100.0%
+74.2 pp
25.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.7%
−4.7 pp
18.4%
Bot %18.3%
+6.5 pp
11.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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