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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

data as of 2026-04-12 07:20 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$155$22K
Holders261−87348
Trades3.8K−1.3K5.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.1%
+11.9 pp
44.2%
Avg ROI5.6%
+4.5 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−43.38×
×43.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−41.87×
×42.46
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.2K
−$2.2K
$17.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
−0.12
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL66.3%
+163.8 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.2%
−92.4 pp
92.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.1%
+6.4 pp
62.7%
Bot %68.1%
+5.1 pp
63.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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