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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-25 19:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$6.2K$24K
Holders408+108300
Trades3.8K−1724.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.8%
−8.6 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI6.1%
+4.3 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.89
+6.35×
×0.54
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.67
+5.08×
×0.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.1K
+$2.1K
$14.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
+0.23
0.68
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.0%
−155.7 pp
72.7%
Underwater %76.1%
+75.4 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.8%
−12.4 pp
74.2%
Bot %63.0%
−13.1 pp
76.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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