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Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

data as of 2026-05-16 20:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$37K−$576K$613K
Holders1.1K−9152.1K
Trades33K+4.7K28K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.8%
−30.7 pp
79.5%
Avg ROI15.5%
+14.0 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.26
+11.30×
×0.96
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.99
+11.02×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$220
$220
Recent buyer dominance0.50
−0.50
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.2%
−94.3 pp
3.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.1%
−44.8 pp
64.9%
Bot %11.3%
−53.9 pp
65.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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