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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 22:53 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.1K−$1.3K$2.4K
Holders86+1868
Trades405+33372
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.1%
−5.0 pp
56.1%
Avg ROI11.6%
+4.8 pp
6.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×8.04
+7.36×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×6.76
+6.10×
×0.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$397
−$762
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.01
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-86.2%
−140.5 pp
54.3%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.8%
−21.9 pp
59.8%
Bot %44.0%
−30.3 pp
74.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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