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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-12 07:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$25K−$21K$46K
Holders361+82279
Trades4.2K−2104.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.4%
−6.6 pp
49.0%
Avg ROI2.2%
−2.6 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×56.58
+56.17×
×0.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×51.69
+51.23×
×0.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.6K
−$919
$24.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.9%
−221.2 pp
123.3%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.9%
−4.4 pp
79.2%
Bot %75.8%
+8.2 pp
67.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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