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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 17?

data as of 2026-03-17 15:28 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.8K−$15K$20K
Holders228+102126
Trades1.4K+3501.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.9%
−23.8 pp
68.7%
Avg ROI3.3%
−0.0 pp
3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.21
+36.72×
×0.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.60
+41.05×
×0.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$52
−$1.1K
$1.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.26
0.82
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.6%
−180.5 pp
82.9%
Underwater %97.1%
+97.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.5%
−7.9 pp
51.4%
Bot %26.0%
−6.4 pp
32.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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