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Will Donald Trump say "Million" 10 or more times during his Pennsylvania rally?

data as of 2024-09-24 01:38 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$83K+$73K$10.0K
Holders40−343
Trades353+28325
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.7%
+4.3 pp
62.4%
Avg ROI4.4%
−1.0 pp
5.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.15
+0.73×
×0.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.09
−0.45×
×1.55
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$420
−$5.5K
$5.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.40
−0.60
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-6.3%
+24.1 pp
-30.4%
Underwater %90.8%
+46.1 pp
44.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.8%
+3.1 pp
2.7%
Bot %5.8%
+3.1 pp
2.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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