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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 21:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$10K−$7.4K$17K
Holders243+25218
Trades2.0K+3251.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−1.1 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI2.1%
+1.1 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×37.92
+37.35×
×0.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×35.46
+34.86×
×0.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.9K
−$7.2K
$17.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.01
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−163.7 pp
66.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.4%
+0.8 pp
53.7%
Bot %64.1%
+5.4 pp
58.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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