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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

data as of 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.6K−$9.5K$15K
Holders330+70260
Trades2.6K+4862.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.3%
−27.6 pp
62.9%
Avg ROI-1.2%
−0.8 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.45
+2.79×
×0.65
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.07
+2.33×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.5K
−$7.0K
$11.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-69.1%
−114.4 pp
45.2%
Underwater %63.4%
+63.3 pp
0.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %58.6%
−15.4 pp
74.0%
Bot %60.6%
−12.0 pp
72.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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