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Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?

data as of 2024-05-15 18:08 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$-674−$433K$432K
Holders1.5K−5.3K6.8K
Trades33K+6.6K27K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
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██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
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██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$10
$10
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
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██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+0.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %100.0%
+0.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
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██
Shark %██
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██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
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██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
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██
Holder gini██
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██
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