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Will Ed Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

data as of 2026-07-15 15:42 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
86¢
NO
14¢
YES
86¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.2K+$1.6K$595
Holders9−413
Trades47−754
NO
14¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.2%
−28.0 pp
84.2%
Avg ROI15.2%
+7.7 pp
7.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.89
−0.84×
×1.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.64
−1.18×
×1.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
+$805
$311
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL55.4%
+100.5 pp
-45.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.7 pp
96.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−0.9 pp
0.9%
Bot %0.0%
−3.4 pp
3.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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