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Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 3PM ET

data as of 2025-08-14 20:00 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.4K+$1.6K$2.8K
Holders25−126
Trades200−93293
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.8%
+23.9 pp
37.0%
Avg ROI-1.3%
−25.6 pp
24.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.16
−1.09×
×2.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.02
−1.92×
×2.94
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$41
−$57
$98
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.41
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-1.4%
+64.7 pp
-66.1%
Underwater %57.9%
−5.3 pp
63.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.4%
+40.4 pp
41.0%
Bot %81.4%
+40.5 pp
40.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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