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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

data as of 2026-05-13 13:44 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$19K−$15K$34K
Holders698+105593
Trades5.7K+5575.1K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.7%
−1.5 pp
53.3%
Avg ROI0.8%
−0.5 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×36.28
+35.62×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.60
+36.94×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.7K
−$4.7K
$22.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.03
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.3%
−155.7 pp
58.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.8%
−2.2 pp
45.1%
Bot %57.4%
−1.8 pp
59.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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