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Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 15, 2026?

data as of 2026-05-15 14:24 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.0K+$1.8K$1.1K
Holders38−2159
Trades226−16242
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.9%
−15.5 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI6.5%
+2.4 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−0.07×
×1.04
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.94
−0.07×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$100
+$110
−$10
Recent buyer dominance0.69
+0.23
0.47
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.1%
−0.0 pp
2.1%
Underwater %31.4%
−48.8 pp
80.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.4%
−21.2 pp
32.6%
Bot %11.6%
−21.4 pp
33.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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