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Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 18?

data as of 2026-07-03 18:22 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 14, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$122$124
Holders2+11
Trades2+11
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.8%
+33.8 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI5.5%
+5.5 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.14
+0.14×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$122
$124
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-12.5%
−12.5 pp
0.0%
Underwater %14.3%
+14.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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