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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

data as of 2026-04-30 23:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$253$17K
Holders210+38172
Trades2.4K+1682.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.6%
−0.8 pp
48.4%
Avg ROI6.7%
+1.8 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×54.29
+53.41×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×56.25
+55.37×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.7K
+$678
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.82
+0.23
0.59
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.1%
−111.6 pp
13.5%
Underwater %98.6%
+74.8 pp
23.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.8%
+10.6 pp
71.2%
Bot %85.9%
+13.0 pp
72.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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